Poole Group Wealth Newsletter – January 2026

2025 Year in review: It was a soft landing for Australia

Many investors breathed a sigh of relief at having survived (and even thrived) the turbulent economic and political events of 2025.

Super funds posted strong double-digit returns for the 2024-2025 financial year. Australia recorded modest economic growth, while inflation cooled a little throughout the year – albeit with a slight uptick at year’s end – and house prices surged before hitting the brakes in December. Share markets reported respectable gains locally and some surging profits globally. 

The big picture

Markets and economies around the world have danced to the tune of the Trump Administration’s second term in office and reacted to wars and unrest in the Middle East and Ukraine.

The US President’s often surprising policy twists and turns, particularly a punishing new tariff regime, saw markets falter and exporters of goods and services to the US plunged into uncertainty.

The Australian dollar reflected the choppy conditions, hitting lows just under 0.60 USD in April before recovering slightly by year-end at just under 0.67 USD, this was buoyed by our strong iron ore exports and the growing demand for lithium, copper and rare earths.ⁱ

The artificial intelligence revolution was another feature of the year, driving US share markets ever higher with some fearing the bubble is overdue to burst. 

Economy

Inflation’s stubborn resistance to the Reserve Bank’s measures to bring it down could lead to further interest rate rises in 2026.

The Consumer Price Index in January recorded an annual rate of 3.4 per cent, down 0.4 per cent on the previous month. The RBA’s flexible inflation target aims to keep the cost of living increases between two and three per cent.

The cash rate began 2025 at 4.35 per cent but after three cuts during the year, it was down to 3.6 per cent in December. The RBA is due to meet in February to consider its next move.

In the US, the Federal Reserve also cut rates three times, putting the interest rate to a range of 3.5 – 3.75 per cent.

The Australian economy grew 2.1 per cent in the year to September in a massive improvement on the previous year’s growth of 0.8 per cent.

Property

After two uneven years, home values surged again in 2025 by 8.6 per cent, adding about $71,500 to the national median.ⁱⁱ

It’s the strongest calendar year performance since the remarkable 24.5 per cent increase in 2021.

However, values softened in December, recording the smallest monthly increase in five months.

Darwin delivered the best performance with an 18.9 per cent gain in values during the year while Melbourne took the wooden spoon with a 4.8 per cent increase.ⁱⁱⁱ

Share markets

Global equity markets proved that they could thrive, even in a higher-interest rate environment, and the AI revolution moved from the hype phase of the previous year to serious players in 2025.

While ‘The Magnificent Seven’ tech stocks have long ruled the S&P 500, in 2025 just two outperformed the index with a gain of 64.8 per cent for Alphabet and 38.9 per cent for Nvidia.^iv

It was a slower pace for Australian markets with the S&P/ASX 200 delivering a solid total return of 6.8 per cent. While the big banks faced some pressure on margins as interest rates peaked, the materials sector was supported by the global energy transition. Dividend yields remained attractive, continuing Australia’s tradition of providing reliable income for retirees and SMSFs.

Commodities

Precious metals drove commodity values in the past year with investors looking for security amid interest rate movements and geopolitical tensions.

Silver was up by an astonishing 182 per cent during the year, but a sell-off in December saw the price finish the year with a 147 per cent gain.^v

Meanwhile, gold’s safe haven status during times of uncertainty saw it jump by 65 per cent during the year.

Looking ahead

It seems likely the issues that dominated the financial markets in 2025 may continue to shape performance and returns this year.

Global politics and war are likely to move commodity prices and equity markets while the contrariness of US foreign policy will both spook and buoy investors.

In Australia, all eyes will be on the RBA, with high levels of speculation as to where interest rates will be heading in 2026.

i Australian Dollar | Trading Economics

ii Home Value Index: Softer landing after strong 2025

iii Home Value Index: Softer landing after strong 2025

iv Which Magnificent 7 Stock Had the Best Year in 2025? | Investing.com

Designing the future, you want

As we tick over into a new year, many of us feel the instinctive pull for change – a desire to feel better, do better and make life feel more aligned to our values and goals. While this wave of motivation is in full force, it can quickly fade if you don’t have direction and a plan in place.

Thoughtfully planning out what it is you want to achieve and how you go about achieving it, can provide clarity and structure and ensure you stay on track.

As we look toward to the year ahead, now is the perfect time to set out a framework that supports lasting progress, not for the first few months, but throughout the whole year.

We explain how setting realistic goals can help you grow, stay motivated and create a year you can be proud of.

Reflecting on the past

Before we start to look forward, we must look back. Reflect on what you achieved in the past year – think about where you felt a sense of accomplishment as well as the areas that you may have fallen a little short and may need improvement for the year ahead.

Writing each of these down makes it easier, so you can avoid repeating the same patterns, especially for the things that didn’t go according to plan.

Next, you need to align your goals to what matters to you. What are your true values? Many goals are set based on what we think other people expect or what we think we should be doing. If you’re creating goals for these reasons, you are probably setting yourself up for failure.

Some considerations for values that are important to you could be health and well-being, career growth, family and relationships or financial stability.

Building the framework

Now, we’ve all heard about setting SMART goals (Specific, Measurable, Achievable, Relevant and Time- bound), but what about ‘systems’?

Author of Atomic Habits, James Clear, states that when we are not achieving our goals, or breaking certain habits, it may not be about the goals that are being set but the system we are using to achieve the goals.

Clear uses a framework called Four Laws of Behaviour Change, which set rules around achieving goals, or breaking bad habits. The four laws are as follows:

Law 1 – Make it obvious

Law 2 – Make it attractive

Law 3 – Make it easy

Law 4 – Make it satisfying

These laws are designed to create a simple, effective framework to keep you focused on your goals.

Implement and execute

Here are some examples of how you can use this system to create simple habits to achieve your goals.

Law 1: Make it obvious

• Design your environment so the cue for your habit is right in front of you

  Example: Put your gym clothes on the bed the night before

Law 2: Make it attractive

• Pair habits with something you enjoy

  Example: Only listen to your favourite podcast while walking

Law 3: Make it easy

• Reduce friction-make habits as convenient as possible

• Start small:

  • Do 2 push-ups

  • Meditate for 1 minute

LAW 4: Make it satisfying

• Reward yourself immediately after the habit

• Track habits so you feel progress

• Create a “don’t break the chain” streak

Cultivating small daily habits will keep you motivated. Fostering sustainable habits and seeing the gradual change each day will give you the dopamine hit you need to continue on your journey. When you start to feel overwhelmed, the process feels like a hard slog, and you are less likely to stick to it.

Remember, you don’t need to overhaul your life, it’s about creating small habits that are going to be more manageable to help you achieve big goals, whatever they may be.

Set yourself up for kicking goals

Setting goals for 2026 is an opportunity to shape your life intentionally rather than drifting through the year on autopilot, which we tend to do if we don’t carefully and thoughtfully plan ahead.

With reflection, clarity, systems, and flexibility, your goals can become powerful tools for transformation. Start early, stay curious, and give yourself permission to evolve along the way.

Here’s to a purposeful, aligned, and fulfilling 2026.

Life cover

A sudden death can place financial stress on those who depend on you. If this happens, life cover can help them pay the bills and other living expenses.

What is life cover

Life cover is also called ‘term life insurance’ or ‘death cover’. It pays a lump sum amount of money when you die. The money goes to the people you nominate as beneficiaries on the policy. If you haven’t named a beneficiary, the super trustee or your estate decides where the money goes.

Life cover may also come with terminal illness cover. This pays a lump sum if you’re diagnosed with a terminal illness with a limited life expectancy.

Important: Accidental death insurance is different from life cover. It will only pay out if you die from an accident. It will not provide cover if you die from an illness, disease or suicide. This type of cover often has a lot of exclusions.

To understand what’s covered under a policy and the exclusions, read the product disclosure statement (PDS).

Decide if you need life cover

If you have a partner or dependents, life insurance can help repay debt and cover living costs if you die.

If you don’t have a partner, or people who depend on you financially, you may not need life cover. But consider getting trauma insurance, income protection insurance or total and permanent disability (TPD) insurance in case you get sick or injured.

How much life cover you might need

To decide how much life cover to get, consider how much money you or your family would:

• need — to pay the mortgage, credit cards and any other debts, child care, school fees and ongoing living expenses

• receive — from super, savings, the sale of any investments, your paid leave balance, and support from your extended family

The difference between these is the amount of cover you should get.

If you need help deciding if you need life cover, and how much, speak to us.

How to buy life cover

Check if you already hold life insurance through super. Most super funds offer default life cover that’s cheaper than buying it directly. You can increase your level of cover through your super fund if you need to.

You can also buy life cover from:

• a financial adviser

• an insurance broker

• an insurance company

Life cover can be bought on its own or packaged with trauma, TPD or income protection insurance. If it’s packaged, your life cover may be reduced by any amount paid on other claims in the package. Check the PDS or ask your insurer.

Life cover premiums

You can generally choose to pay for life cover with either:

• variable age-stepped premiums (previously known as ‘stepped premiums’) — are based on your age and recalculated at each policy renewal. Generally, this means that the cost of your cover will increase as you get older because there is a higher chance of making a claim as you age.

• variable premiums (previously known as ‘level premiums’)— charge a higher premium at the start of the policy, but changes to the cost aren’t based on your age, so increases generally happen more slowly over time.

Your choice of variable age-stepped or variable premiums has an impact on how much your premiums will cost now and in the future. 

Regardless of which way you choose to pay for your cover, premiums are not guaranteed and may change annually. Speak to your insurer or read the PDS for more information. 

Compare life cover

Once you know how much life cover you need, shop around and compare:

• benefits and policy features

• exclusions

• waiting periods before you can claim

• limits on cover

• the cost of the premiums — now and in the future

A cheaper policy may have more exclusions, or it may become more expensive in the future. You can find information about the policy on the insurer’s website or in the product disclosure statement (PDS). 

What you need to tell your insurer

An insurer will ask you questions when you apply for or change your insurance. These questions may be about your: 

• age

• job

• medical history

• family history, such as a history of disease

• lifestyle (for example, if you’re a smoker)

• high-risk sports or hobbies (such as skydiving)

If an insurer doesn’t ask for your medical history, it may mean that the policy has more exclusions or narrower policy definitions.

The information you provide will help the insurer to decide:

• if they should insure you

• how much your premiums will be

• terms and conditions for your policy

It is important that you answer the questions honestly. Providing misleading or incomplete answers could lead an insurer to cancel or vary your cover, or decline a claim you make.

Making a life cover claim

If someone close to you dies and you need to make a claim, or if you need to make a terminal illness claim, see how to make a life insurance claim. 

Source:
Reproduced with the permission of ASIC’s MoneySmart Team. This article was originally published at https://moneysmart.gov.au/how-life-insurance-works/life-cover
Important note: This provides general information and hasn’t taken your circumstances into account.  It’s important to consider your particular circumstances before deciding what’s right for you. Although the information is from sources considered reliable, we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete. You should not rely upon it and should seek qualified advice before making any investment decision. Except where liability under any statute cannot be excluded, we do not accept any liability (whether under contract, tort or otherwise) for any resulting loss or damage of the reader or any other person.  Past performance is not a reliable guide to future returns.
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